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Nate Silver - Wikipedia. Nate Silver. Born. Nathaniel Read Silver(1. January 1. 3, 1. 97. East Lansing, Michigan, U. S. Residence. New York City, New York, U. S.[2]Alma mater. University of Chicago.

London School of Economics. Occupation. Statistician, journalist. Years active. 20. Employer. ESPNKnown for.

PECOTA, Five. Thirty. Eight. Title. Editor in Chief, Five.

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Thirty. Eight. Website. Five. Thirty. Eight. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 1. American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics) and elections (see psephology). He is the editor- in- chief of ESPN's Five. Thirty. Eight and a Special Correspondent for ABC News.

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Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA,[3] a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2. After Silver successfully called the outcomes in 4.

U. S. Presidential election, he was named one of The World's 1. Most Influential People by Time in 2. In 2. 01. 0, the Five.

Thirty. Eight blog was licensed for publication by The New York Times.[6][7] In 2. Five. Thirty. Eight won Webby Awards as the "Best Political Blog" from the International Academy of Digital Arts and Sciences. In the 2. 01. 2 United States presidential election, Silver correctly predicted the winner of all 5.

District of Columbia.[8]In July 2. Five. Thirty. Eight was sold to ESPN, and Silver became its Editor in Chief.[9] The ESPN- owned Five.

Thirty. Eight launched on March 1. The site focused on a broad range of subjects under the rubric of "data journalism".[1. Silver's book, The Signal and the Noise, was published in September 2.

It subsequently reached The New York Times best seller list for nonfiction, and was named by Amazon. No. 1 best nonfiction book of 2. The Signal and the Noise won the 2. Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science.[1. The book has been translated into nine languages: Chinese (separate editions in traditional and simplified characters), Czech, German, Italian, Polish, Portuguese, Spanish, Russian, and Romanian. Having earned a bachelor's degree from The University of Chicago in 2. Silver has since been awarded five honorary doctoral degrees: from Ripon College (2.

The New School (2. The University of Leuven (2. Amherst College (2. Georgetown University (2. Early life[edit]Silver was born in East Lansing, Michigan, the son of Sally (née Thrun), a community activist, and Brian David Silver, a former chair of the political science department at Michigan State University.[1.

Silver's mother's family, of English and German descent, includes several distinguished men and women, including his maternal great- grandfather, Harmon Lewis, who was president of the Alcoa Steamship Company, Inc.[1. Silver has described himself as "half- Jewish".[1. Silver showed a proficiency in math from a young age.[1. According to journalist William Hageman, "Silver caught the baseball bug when he was 6.. It was 1. 98. 4, the year the Detroit Tigers won the World Series. The Tigers became his team and baseball his sport.

And if there's anything that goes hand in glove with baseball, it's numbers, another of Silver's childhood interests ("It's always more interesting to apply it to batting averages than algebra class").[1. As a student at East Lansing High School, in 1. Silver won first place in the State of Michigan in the 4. John S. Knight Scholarship Contest for senior high school debaters.[1. Silver first showed his journalism skills as a writer and opinion page editor for The Portrait, East Lansing High School's student newspaper, from 1. In 2. 00. 0, Silver graduated with Honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago.

He also wrote for the Chicago Weekly News and the Chicago Maroon. He spent his third year at the London School of Economics.[2. Economic consultant: 2. After college graduation in 2. Silver worked for three and a half years as a transfer pricing consultant with KPMG in Chicago. When asked in 2. 00.

What is your biggest regret in life?" Silver responded, "Spending four years of my life at a job I didn't like".[2. While employed at KPMG, Silver continued to nurture his lifelong interest in baseball and statistics, and on the side he began to work on his PECOTA system for projecting player performance and careers.

He quit his job at KPMG in April 2. Baseball analyst: 2. In 2. 00. 3, Silver became a writer for Baseball Prospectus (BP), after having sold PECOTA to BP in return for a partnership interest. After resigning from KPMG in 2.

Executive Vice- President, later renamed Managing Partner of BP. Silver further developed PECOTA and wrote a weekly column under the heading "Lies, Damned Lies". He applied sabermetric techniques to a broad range of topics including forecasting the performance of individual players, the economics of baseball, metrics for the valuation of players, and developing an Elo rating system for Major League baseball.[2. Between 2. 00. 3 and 2. Silver co- authored the Baseball Prospectus annual book of Major League Baseball forecasts,[2.

Mind Game: How the Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning,[2. Baseball Between the Numbers,[2. It Ain't Over 'til It's Over: The Baseball Prospectus Pennant Race Book.[2.

He contributed articles about baseball to ESPN. Sports Illustrated, Slate, the New York Sun, and The New York Times.[2. Silver has authored more than 2. Baseball Prospectus.[3. PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) is a statistical system that projects the future performance of hitters and pitchers.

It is designed primarily for two uses: fans interested in fantasy baseball, and professionals in the baseball business trying to predict the performance and valuation of major league players. Unlike most other baseball projection systems, PECOTA relies on matching a given current player to a set of "comparable" players whose past performance can serve as a guide to how the given current player is likely to perform in the future. Unlike most other such systems, PECOTA also calculates a range of probable performance levels rather than a single predicted value on a given measure such as earned run average or batting average. PECOTA projections were first published by Baseball Prospectus in the 2. Baseball. Prospectus.

Silver produced the PECOTA forecasts for each Major League Baseball season from 2. Political analyst and blogger: 2. Five. Thirty. Eight blog[edit]. Silver in Washington, D. C., January 1. 9, 2. Creation and motivation[edit]On November 1, 2. Baseball Prospectus, Silver began publishing a diary under the pseudonym "Poblano" on the progressive political blog Daily Kos.[3.

Silver set out to analyze quantitative aspects of the political game to enlighten a broader audience. Silver reports that "he was stranded in a New Orleans airport when the idea of Five. Thirty. Eight. com came to him. I was just frustrated with the analysis. I saw a lot of discussion about strategy that was not all that sophisticated, especially when it came to quantitative things like polls and demographics'".[3. His forecasts of the 2. United States presidential primary elections drew a lot of attention, including being cited by The New York Times Op- Ed columnist William Kristol.[3.

On March 7, 2. 00. Poblano," Silver established his own blog, Five. Thirty. Eight. com.

Often colloquially referred to as just 5. United States electoral college.[3. On May 3. 0, 2. 00. Poblano revealed his identity to Five. Thirty. Eight. com readers.[3. On June 1, 2. 00. Silver published a two- page Op- Ed article in the New York Post outlining the rationale underlying his focus on the statistical aspects of politics.[3.

He first appeared on national television on CNN's American Morning on June 1. Silver described his partisan orientation as follows in the FAQ on his website: "My state [Illinois] has non- partisan registration, so I am not registered as anything.

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